Tag Archives: mask

How To End the Shutdown Before the Vaccine

Everyone is waiting for the vaccine. But this may not come out for 12-24 months.

However, we can still end the shutdown and re-start the economy, to a large extent, before the vaccine. Yes, before the vaccine.

We simply emulate countries such as South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore. Our governments’ refusal to do so is mind-boggling. These Asian economies are not back to 100%, but they are not shutdown nor trapped in their homes. They are going to work, school and restaurants. Albeit, there is a limit to the number of customers allowed in the restaurants, but Taiwan’s streets are bustling as can be seen at 5:33 in this video:

Our schools can be busy like this:

As of today:
DEATHS:
Taiwan: 6
Canada: 1,520
U.S.: 39,095

DEATHS per million people:
Taiwan: 0.3
Canada: 39
U.S.: 118

One of our biggest mistakes was our refusal to wear masks. The WHO, CDC, American and Canadian governments told people to NOT wear masks if they do not have symptoms. This was a catastrophic mistake, because there is asymptomatic transmission and this has been known since January 30th. According to Columbia University, asymptomatic transmission could have been the source of 79 percent of the infections in China. The MOST IMPORTANT reason to wear masks is NOT to protect the wearer. It is to protect others. It is to stop people, who think they are healthy, from spreading the virus.

One by one, institutions, governments and companies are slowly waking up and coming to their senses:

This is the first step in emulating the Asian countries. Eventually, all governments will wake up, come to their senses and mandate that everyone wears a mask in public when within a few meters from others, and enforce it with fines.

Concurrent to this, testing will ramp up, as new technologies are coming out quickly, such as testing kits from Abbott Labs. Then contact tracing will need to be ramped up. How fast contact tracing can be ramped up is questionable because of the privacy laws and concerns.

Governments will eventually wake up and come to the their senses by levying fines or punishment to people who break quarantine.

If people still get infected, treatments will be coming out soon, such as Remdesivir, Ivermectin and maybe even HydroxyChloroquine with Azithromycin. Each of these have shown positive anecdotal results and are going through clinical trials. Each one will do different things and have different side effects. Therefore, they will likely be prescribed to different patients with different underlying conditions. When this happens, they will reduce the death rate.

In addition to the above, companies are working on over 30 different potential treatments and therapeutics. Eventually, the death rate will drop to be closer to the death rate of the flu. However, the infection rate of this virus is still very high, which can still cause more deaths than the flu because it infects more people and there is no vaccine. To reduce the infection rate, we need to wear masks, test, trace contacts and punish quarantine breakers.

Keep in mind that the small Asian countries are able to go to work, school and restaurants without treatments.

The Asian countries restrict travel from hot spots and screen essential travellers, such as business travellers. They put some travellers into quarantine and levy fines for breaking quarantine. We need to do the same. We are still taking in travellers with insufficient screening.

In schools, we should do what Taiwan has done, which is to put up plastic dividers on students’ desks.

Once the above measures are implemented, we can go back to work, school, restaurants, bars and re-start our economy, even without a vaccine.

It’s not that difficult. It’s far easier than putting a man on the moon. Masks and plastic dividers are low tech. Czech Republic got people to make masks at home. Even the most under-developed country in the world can make these. It takes a few days to pass a by-law to impose fines on quarantine breakers. The most difficult part is understanding why the WHO, CDC and our governments are not emulating countries that have controlled the spread and have not shut down their economies.

As Dr. Chris Martenson (PhD in Pathology) said many times: “it didn’t have to be this way”. Now, I say “it doesn’t have to stay this way”. It is truly astounding how we have made, not one, but two huge mistakes.

If you are sick and tired of being stuck at home, tell your politician to emulate these small Asian countries.

Dishonest CDC Tap Dances About Masks

CDC used to tell us to NOT wear masks.  They made a 180 degree turn and now they are recommending “cloth face covers“. They attribute this to “recent studies” and “new evidence”:

“We now know from recent studies that a significant portion of individuals with coronavirus lack symptoms (“asymptomatic”) and that even those who eventually develop symptoms (“pre-symptomatic”) can transmit the virus to others before showing symptoms.  This means that the virus can spread between people interacting in close proximity—for example, speaking, coughing, or sneezing—even if those people are not exhibiting symptoms.  In light of this new evidence, CDC recommends wearing cloth face coverings”

But, there was evidence since January 30th:

Transmission of 2019-nCoV Infection from an Asymptomatic Contact in Germany (January 30 date is at bottom.  This copy verifies this.)

As shown in my previous post (DO NOT LISTEN TO WHO OR GOVERNMENTS ABOUT MASKS), there have been numerous cases and studies of asymptomatic transmission since then.

Here is another:

A choir decided to go ahead with rehearsal. Now dozens of members have COVID-19 and two are dead

Here is one worth repeating. Asymptomatic transmission can be the source of 79% of infections.

Most of our cases are likely infected by people who thought they were healthy. If you want to avoid getting infected, you need to assume that anyone can be infected and contagious. If you want avoid infecting others, you need to wear a mask and keep your distance, even if you think you are healthy.

There is evidence that the virus is aerosol. Even CDC is concurring by stating that “speaking” can spread it. How far can your breath go? If people are breathing outside in the cold air, the warm breath probably stays in the air much longer than most think and get blown many meters away by the wind. Pedestrians and joggers are still on the streets and sidewalks. They are likely still infecting and getting infected. The young joggers may never get symptoms. But they might infect their parents or a nursing home worker.

But you cannot blame them because the government is not warning them. The Canadian government still thinks that only people with symptoms can spread the virus, by telling you that you do not need to wear a mask if you think you are healthy.

The authorities still give illogical reasons, such as:  you may not know how to wear a mask, or you might have a false sense of security.

It is easier to wear the mask than to tie your shoes.  Even if the mask provides less than 100% security, 50% is better than 0%, which is what you would have with no mask.

The virus enters you through the mouth, nose and sometimes through the eyes.  The mask stops you from touching your mouth and nose. The virus comes out of your mouth and nose. The mask stops most of this.

The most important reason to wear a mask is to stop asymptomatic transmission.  The main reason the surgeon wears a mask is NOT to protect himself/herself from the patient, but to protect the patient from the surgeon, so that the surgeon is not breathing germs into the patient.  If nursing/retirement home workers were told to wear masks, even if they think they are healthy, there would be fewer deaths today.

Do Not Listen To WHO or Governments About Masks

The WHO does not recommend masks. Its website states:

WHO: “ONLY WEAR A MASK IF YOU ARE ILL WITH COVID-19 SYMPTOMS…OR LOOKING AFTER SOMEONE WHO MAY HAVE COVID-19.”

The Canadian government probably follows WHO and does not recommend masks either. Their recommendations about masks are flawed:

Canada: “IF YOU ARE A HEALTHY INDIVIDUAL, THE USE OF A MASK IS NOT RECOMMENDED FOR PREVENTING THE SPREAD OF COVID-19.”

But, just because you feel “healthy”, you can still be infected and spreading the virus. There are several cases of asymptomatic transmission. That is, people without symptoms have been spreading the virus to others.

Asymptomatic Carriers May Still Transmit Coronavirus, Says New Research

You could be spreading the coronavirus without realising you’ve got it

“…375 Chinese cities…86 per cent of cases were “undocumented” – that is, asymptomatic or had only very mild symptoms…they were the source of 79 per cent of further infections.”

In a mass-testing experiment of the 3,400 residents of an Italian town last month, it was found that 75 per cent of participants infected with COVID-19 were completely asymptomatic.

Canada: “WEARING A MASK WHEN YOU ARE NOT ILL MAY GIVE A FALSE SENSE OF SECURITY. THERE IS A POTENTIAL RISK OF INFECTION WITH IMPROPER USE AND DISPOSAL. THEY ALSO NEED TO BE CHANGED FREQUENTLY.”

Even if there “is a potential risk of infection with improper mask use and disposal”, masks reduce the chance of getting infected.  Even if the mask fails at stopping infection, it reduces the inoculum, which enables the wearer to be less sick.  Read: Everyone Should Wear Masks.

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN COUNTRIES

Several Asian countries have low levels of cases. Their people are going to work and school. What do they have in common? Their governments told everyone to wear masks.

But most other countries around the world will not wear masks, due to vanity or other beliefs.

Some governments are telling their people to not wear masks, because they and the hospitals are in competition with the public in buying masks. They did not plan, prepare and stock up on masks.

In fact, some countries did worse than this. Canada sent 16 tonnes of masks, gloves, face screens and other equipment to China on February 9. Then Canada let hoarders send more equipment to China. Australia let hoarders send 90 tonnes of medical supplies to China.

(By January 30th, Taiwan started making 4 million masks per day. By March 10th, Taiwan was making 9.2 million masks per day. Yet, bigger countries, such as Canada, cannot.)

Their governments, such as Canada’s, should say: “We are sorry. We screwed up. We should not have sent our supplies to China. We should not have let hoarders send supplies to China. We should have made sure that there was enough for Canadians. We should have planned, prepared, ordered and manufactured masks since January.” Instead, they are trying to stop their people from competing (and protecting themselves) by shaming them.

Here is Canada’s Health Official, who would not ban travel from China in January (when Taiwan, Hong Kong and Singapore did), still telling us to not wear masks (21:30 in the video):

HHS Secretary Alex Azar said:

“Our advice remains as it has been that the average American does not need a N95 mask. These are really more for health care providers.”

The N95 respirator is the best, but any type of mask helps, even construction, painter’s, homemade or Halloween masks. Even a scarf or bandana is better than nothing.

Leading COVID-19 Expert From South Korea says that masks are effective and everyone should wear them

Interviewer:  “Then can we say that, because everyone in Korea wears a mask, there is less infection in general?”

Expert:  “Absolutely…masks have been proven to prevent infection…Just look at China, Hong Kong, Japan and Korea.  In Asian countries, people wear masks.  In the meantime, if you look at many European countries and the US, the virus is spreading rapidly.  One of the reasons Korea has a relatively low rate of infection is because everyone is wearing a mask and washing their hands regularly.”

Usage of masks “flattened” growth of coronavirus cases in Czech Republic

“one of the key reasons for the decrease in the growth of the cases is a massive country-wide community initiative to create and wear home-made masks”.  In just 10 days, the country went from no mask usage to nearly 100 per cent usage, with nearly all the masks made at home with easily accessible materials, like old t-shirts.”

I do not know if masks will stop the spread completely. But based on how the virus spreads, masks will reduce the spread significantly.

According to the CDC:

“The virus is thought to spread mainly from person-to-person.

* Between people who are in close contact with one another (within about 6 feet).

* Through respiratory droplets produced when an infected person coughs or sneezes.

These droplets can land in the mouths or noses of people who are nearby or possibly be inhaled into the lungs.”

“It may be possible that a person can get COVID-19 by touching a surface or object that has the virus on it and then touching their own mouth, nose, or possibly their eyes, but this is not thought to be the main way the virus spreads.”

If everyone is required to wear a mask, then this means that infected people are wearing masks as well.  This means that “respiratory droplets” are mostly or completely stopped when the infected person “coughs”, “sneezes” or breathes. They are not spraying the virus into the air or onto surfaces for others to breathe in or touch.

Even the CDC is not necessarily correct. If you are “6 feet” away from someone, you might still get infected.

‘Two metres not enough’ when social distancing
Original source

“viral droplets expelled in coughs and sneezes can travel in a moist, warm atmosphere at speeds of 10-30 metres (33ft-100ft) per second, creating a cloud that can span approximately 7-8 metres (23ft-27ft).”

“3ft to 6ft (1-2 metres) may underestimate the distance, timescale, and persistence over which the cloud and its pathogenic payload travel”

There are two types of countries in the world:

  1. Virus not growing exponentially.
  2. Virus growing exponentially.

Countries of the first type include several Asian countries. Their governments tell their people to wear masks. It is not a coincidence that those countries have tiny or manageable numbers of cases. In some of these countries, people are going to work, attending school, going to restaurants and not worried about flattening the curve.

Countries of the second type are freaking out about flattening the curve, trapped in their homes, missing work and school, and not enjoying life such as going to restaurants. They refuse to wear masks. Even worse, their governments are telling their people to not wear masks. Consequently, many people who would be willing to wear masks, do not, because they feel self-conscious, do not want to stand out and do not want others to think that they are infected. So, these countries need to maintain strict lock downs, social distancing, self-isolation and quarantines. If the virus stops growing exponentially and if they want to restart their economies, even partially, their governments need to tell their people to wear masks and impose fines or punishment for not doing so.

Everyone Should Wear Masks

Everyone should wear masks.  The main reason that people don’t is vanity.

According to CDC, face masks work in protecting yourself from virus infection. Note that a face mask is not necessarily the same as respirators.  An N95 mask is a respirator.

A mask does these things:

  1. It reduces the chance that you get infected, even though it is not perfect
  2. It reduces inoculum (viral load), which reduces how sick you get, even if you get infected.  Watch:  https://youtu.be/efaDuE-XEi4?t=1193    Summary:  At time of infection, if you get hit with 100 virus particles, versus 100,000 virus particles, you will be less sick.
  3. It reduces the number of people that you will infect, because you don’t know for the first few days that you are contagious, after getting infected.  The mask reduces the inoculum that you spray into the air.

All of the above benefits help “flatten the curve”.

It can be a construction, painter’s or homemade mask.  It doesn’t have to be surgical mask.  Any mask, even a scarf, is better than nothing. It may sound funny, but a Halloween mask is better than nothing.

It is no coincidence that everyone in the Asian countries, which have tiny numbers of infected, wear masks.  Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea and Singapore knew that it was important that everyone in public wear masks.  You cannot “flatten the curve” if the public has a high R (infectious rate) or get very sick (from getting hit with high inoculum levels), both of which masks reduce.  Hence, their governments made masks available and told everyone to wear them.

Note the woman shopper in the photo of this article about Taiwan.  

Notice that her mask is not a medical ask.  Any mask helps, as it limits the inoulum that she is spraying into the air, if she is infected.

In Taiwan, people are still going to work and school.  They can go to restaurants.  They aren’t worried about “flattening the curve”.  Meanwhile, we are freaked out, trapped in our homes and our economy is cratering.

As Chris Martenson said: “Why is face mask use – proven effective at stopping disease – not being promoted for general use? Because the government failed to stockpile and had no plan for how to ramp up production, and chose to shame the public into not buying masks instead of being honest.”